Why are Sugar No 5 Prices so high?
30-09-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Sugar No 5 has seen a slight decrease, moving from $514.4/t to $509.5/t. This modest drop reflects minor fluctuations in the market value of this raw material, influenced by supply and demand dynamics. The forecast for Sugar No 5 suggests a slight increase to $510.7/t, representing a 0.2% rise from the current price of $509.5/t, indicating a generally stable trend. The associated risk appears minimal due to the marginal price change.
The forecast points to upward price pressure on Sugar No 5, primarily driven by technical data, which has a $4.60/t impact, notably from the Futures Curve. However, this is counterbalanced by flows data, which suggests a $3.70/t downward pressure, resulting in a mixed outlook. Demand, supply, and technical data collectively support potential price increases.
An analysis by Barchart in October 2023 highlights that sugar prices have been on an upward trend, reaching 27.67 cents per pound, the highest since 2011. The report anticipates that this bullish trend will persist, with prices possibly testing the 2011 peak of 36.08 cents per pound. This outlook aligns with the forecasted price increase to $510.7/t in the coming month.
The forecast points to upward price pressure on Sugar No 5, primarily driven by technical data, which has a $4.60/t impact, notably from the Futures Curve. However, this is counterbalanced by flows data, which suggests a $3.70/t downward pressure, resulting in a mixed outlook. Demand, supply, and technical data collectively support potential price increases.
An analysis by Barchart in October 2023 highlights that sugar prices have been on an upward trend, reaching 27.67 cents per pound, the highest since 2011. The report anticipates that this bullish trend will persist, with prices possibly testing the 2011 peak of 36.08 cents per pound. This outlook aligns with the forecasted price increase to $510.7/t in the coming month.
What is the current / spot price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Today
September 30, 2026
Current Price
509.5
¢/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Forecast
September 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
510.7
¢/lb
1 Year Forecast
614.3
¢/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - Satellite-observed activity in Oise (France) - The net positions of speculators on ICE Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Movements in the Swiss Franc - Sugar exports from India - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year
What are the long-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Sugar exports from Australia - Germany GDP Growth Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Short term price trends - The net positions of speculators on ICE
Will the price of Sugar No 5 go up?
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1 Week
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3 Month
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1 Year
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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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