Why are Sugar No 5 Prices so high?
23-10-2025 - Sugar No 5 prices dropped by 3.7% over the past month, from $451.0/t on September 22nd to $434.5/t on October 22nd. The high was $468.3/t on September 30th, while the low was $433.4/t on October 21st.
Our one month forecast for Sugar No 5 is 435.4 $/t, a slight increase of 0.9 $/t or 0.2% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a balanced market risk around this forecast.
Our current forecast is influenced most significantly by Technical data, with a price impact of $8.20 per tonne. Within the Technical data type, Price Signals and Trend Following families have the highest impacts of $3.50 and $3.20 per tonne, respectively. While Technical data suggests upward price pressure, other data types like Demand, Flows, and Supply indicate the opposite trend. Demand from Global Economy, Flows from Exchange Rates and Seaborne Imports & Exports, and Supply from Production Activity and Weather Conditions all contribute to a downward price impact.
Our one month forecast for Sugar No 5 is 435.4 $/t, a slight increase of 0.9 $/t or 0.2% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a balanced market risk around this forecast.
Our current forecast is influenced most significantly by Technical data, with a price impact of $8.20 per tonne. Within the Technical data type, Price Signals and Trend Following families have the highest impacts of $3.50 and $3.20 per tonne, respectively. While Technical data suggests upward price pressure, other data types like Demand, Flows, and Supply indicate the opposite trend. Demand from Global Economy, Flows from Exchange Rates and Seaborne Imports & Exports, and Supply from Production Activity and Weather Conditions all contribute to a downward price impact.
What is the current / spot price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Today
October 23, 2025
Current Price
434.5
¢/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Forecast
October 23, 2025
1 Month Forecast
435.4
¢/lb
1 Year Forecast
494.6
¢/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
What are the long-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Short term price trends - Long term price trends - The net positions of speculators on ICE Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Min. temperature in Lublin Voivodeship (Poland)
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - Short term price trends - Sugar exports from Brazil Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends
Will the price of Sugar No 5 go up?
.png)
1 Week
1 Month
3 Month
6 Month
1 Year
The Latest Sugar No 5 News
ChAI Blog
Coca-Cola results top estimates as zero-sugar, smaller pack sizes boost sales
October 21, 2025
Reuters
Frequently asked question?
Still have a question?
Contact us
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?
Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email