
Why are Sugar No 5 Prices so high?
05-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Sugar No 5 has decreased from $421.1/t to $411.8/t, indicating a downward trend in the raw material market. This suggests potential changes in supply or demand dynamics. The forecast for Sugar No 5 is $411.3/t, slightly lower than the current price of $411.8/t, representing a marginal -0.1% change. This suggests a generally stable price trend with minimal risk of significant fluctuations in the raw material market.
The forecast also highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, driven by technical data with a $2.1/t impact, particularly from trend-following indicators. However, demand data suggests downward pressure, resulting in a mixed market outlook. Recent analyses project a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market over the next month, consistent with the forecasted price decline to $411.3/t. For example, Trading Economics anticipates that sugar will trade at 14.07 cents per pound by the end of this quarter, down from the current price of 14.26 cents per pound as of February 2, 2026. This projection supports the expected downward trend in sugar prices.
The forecast also highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, driven by technical data with a $2.1/t impact, particularly from trend-following indicators. However, demand data suggests downward pressure, resulting in a mixed market outlook. Recent analyses project a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market over the next month, consistent with the forecasted price decline to $411.3/t. For example, Trading Economics anticipates that sugar will trade at 14.07 cents per pound by the end of this quarter, down from the current price of 14.26 cents per pound as of February 2, 2026. This projection supports the expected downward trend in sugar prices.
What is the current / spot price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
411.8
¢/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Sugar No 5?
Sugar No 5 Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
411.3
¢/lb
1 Year Forecast
481.5
¢/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bearish due to drivers such as: - Min. temperature in Lublin Voivodeship (Poland) - The shape of the futures curve - Eurozone Equities Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Short term price trends - Long term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Sugar No 5 prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - Short term price trends - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends
Will the price of Sugar No 5 go up?
.png)
1 Week

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

1 Year

Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements
ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
The Latest Sugar No 5 News
ChAI Blog
HIF Global eyes significant capex savings on $4 billion Brazil hydrogen plant
February 5, 2026
Reuters
Food inflation across Europe: Which products saw the biggest price increases in 2025?
February 3, 2026
Reuters
Frequently Asked Questions
Still have a question?
Contact us
Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
What are new government polices?
What raw materials are in short supply?
What are current freight rates?
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
