Why are Coffee Robusta Prices so high?
30-09-2026 - Over the past month, Coffee Robusta prices have decreased from $3492/t to $3410/t, indicating either a drop in demand or an increase in supply. The forecast predicts a further decline to $3331/t, a 2.3% decrease from the current price, suggesting a continued downward trend. This trend is accompanied by potential market volatility that could impact raw material prices.
The current forecast reveals mixed signals in the market. While Flows data, influenced by Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates, suggests upward price pressure with a $62/t impact, Demand, Supply, and Technical data indicate downward pressure.
An analysis by KoalaGains, published two months ago, presents a cautious outlook for the coffee market. Despite a historically high price of approximately $3.24 per pound in early July 2026—24% below the February 2025 peak—the fundamentals remain tight due to five consecutive years of global deficit and low ICE stocks. However, the price is considered stretched, with a record Brazilian crop expected to shift the market into surplus. Banks such as Rabobank and the World Bank anticipate double-digit declines, supporting the forecasted downward trend in coffee prices. This analysis aligns with the forecast, suggesting potential price decreases in the near future.
The current forecast reveals mixed signals in the market. While Flows data, influenced by Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates, suggests upward price pressure with a $62/t impact, Demand, Supply, and Technical data indicate downward pressure.
An analysis by KoalaGains, published two months ago, presents a cautious outlook for the coffee market. Despite a historically high price of approximately $3.24 per pound in early July 2026—24% below the February 2025 peak—the fundamentals remain tight due to five consecutive years of global deficit and low ICE stocks. However, the price is considered stretched, with a record Brazilian crop expected to shift the market into surplus. Banks such as Rabobank and the World Bank anticipate double-digit declines, supporting the forecasted downward trend in coffee prices. This analysis aligns with the forecast, suggesting potential price decreases in the near future.
What is the current / spot price of Coffee Robusta?
Coffee Robusta Price Today
September 30, 2026
Current Price
3410
c/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Coffee Robusta?
Coffee Robusta Price Forecast
September 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
3331
c/lb
1 Year Forecast
3284
c/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Coffee Robusta prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Short term price trends - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Grain exports from Brazil - Grain exports from Honduras - Robusta ICE Stocks
What are the long-term drivers of Coffee Robusta prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - Long term price trends - Robusta ICE Stocks Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Short term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis
Will the price of Coffee Robusta go up?
.png)
1 Week
1 Month
3 Month
6 Month
1 Year
Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements
ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
The Latest Coffee Robusta News
ChAI Blog
Agriculturals
Click here to see info on similar materials in the group
Frequently Asked Questions
Still have a question?
Contact us
Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
What are new government polices?
What raw materials are in short supply?
What are current freight rates?
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?
Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email