Why are Coffee Arabica Prices so high?
05-12-2025 - Coffee Arabica prices rose by 1.7% over the last month, from 405.25 ¢/lb on November 4th to 411.95 ¢/lb on December 4th. The high was 422.7 ¢/lb on November 11th, with a low of 396.75 ¢/lb on November 6th.
Our one month forecast for Coffee Arabica is 395.59 ¢/lb, a decrease of -16.36 ¢/lb or -4.0% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast than falling short.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, lowering the price forecast by -12.86 ¢/lb. Within the Technical data, the Futures Curve family had the largest negative impact of -9.64 ¢/lb, followed by Traders' Positions with -3.05 ¢/lb. However, there is disagreement among the various data types. Demand and Flows data suggest upward price pressure, with Global Economy and Exchange RatesSeaborne Imports & Exports families contributing positively. In contrast, Supply and Technical data indicate the opposite trend, with no agreement on the price direction.
Our one month forecast for Coffee Arabica is 395.59 ¢/lb, a decrease of -16.36 ¢/lb or -4.0% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast than falling short.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, lowering the price forecast by -12.86 ¢/lb. Within the Technical data, the Futures Curve family had the largest negative impact of -9.64 ¢/lb, followed by Traders' Positions with -3.05 ¢/lb. However, there is disagreement among the various data types. Demand and Flows data suggest upward price pressure, with Global Economy and Exchange RatesSeaborne Imports & Exports families contributing positively. In contrast, Supply and Technical data indicate the opposite trend, with no agreement on the price direction.
What is the current / spot price of Coffee Arabica?
Coffee Arabica Price Today
December 8, 2025
Current Price
411.95
c/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Coffee Arabica?
Coffee Arabica Price Forecast
December 8, 2025
1 Month Forecast
395.59
c/lb
1 Year Forecast
295.02
c/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - The net positions of speculators on ICE - Short term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Long term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - EWMA-based technical analysis - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Grain exports from Colombia
Will the price of Coffee Arabica go up?
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