
Why are Coffee Arabica Prices so high?
05-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Coffee Arabica has experienced a significant decline, falling from 359.35 cents per pound to 308.65 cents per pound. This drop highlights a downward trend in the raw material market, suggesting possible changes in supply or demand dynamics. The forecast predicts a further decrease to 292.26 cents per pound, a 5.3% reduction from the current price of 308.65 cents per pound, indicating continued downward pressure. This trend is accompanied by potential market volatility that could impact raw material prices.
The current forecast presents mixed signals: while technical data points to a price decrease of 6.87 cents per pound, influenced by the Futures Curve, demand data suggests upward pressure due to the global economy. However, overall, flows, supply, and technical data indicate a downward trend in raw material prices.
Recent analyses support the forecast, predicting a potential decline in ICE Coffee prices over the next month, aligning with the forecasted price of 292.26 cents per pound. Trading Economics anticipates that coffee will trade at 326.52 cents per pound by the end of this quarter, suggesting a decrease from current levels. This projection reinforces the expected downward trend in coffee prices.
The current forecast presents mixed signals: while technical data points to a price decrease of 6.87 cents per pound, influenced by the Futures Curve, demand data suggests upward pressure due to the global economy. However, overall, flows, supply, and technical data indicate a downward trend in raw material prices.
Recent analyses support the forecast, predicting a potential decline in ICE Coffee prices over the next month, aligning with the forecasted price of 292.26 cents per pound. Trading Economics anticipates that coffee will trade at 326.52 cents per pound by the end of this quarter, suggesting a decrease from current levels. This projection reinforces the expected downward trend in coffee prices.
What is the current / spot price of Coffee Arabica?
Coffee Arabica Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
308.65
c/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Coffee Arabica?
Coffee Arabica Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
292.26
c/lb
1 Year Forecast
221.94
c/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - The net positions of speculators on ICE - EWMA-based technical analysis - Satellite-observed activity in São Paulo (Brazil) Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Short term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Long term price trends - Short term price trends - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Grain exports from Colombia
Will the price of Coffee Arabica go up?
.png)
1 Week

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

1 Year

Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements
ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
The Latest Coffee Arabica News
ChAI Blog
HIF Global eyes significant capex savings on $4 billion Brazil hydrogen plant
February 5, 2026
Reuters
Frequently Asked Questions
Still have a question?
Contact us
Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
What are new government polices?
What raw materials are in short supply?
What are current freight rates?
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
