Coffee Arabica Prices

    Great greater insights with a subscription
    January 30, 2026

    Why are Coffee Arabica Prices so high?

    29-01-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Coffee Arabica has seen a slight decrease, moving from 352.15 ¢/lb to 351.0 ¢/lb. This minor drop suggests subtle changes in the supply-demand balance affecting the market value of this raw material. The forecast anticipates a further decline to 336.44 ¢/lb, a 4.1% decrease from the current price of 351.0 ¢/lb, indicating a downward trend. This trend carries the risk of potential market volatility impacting raw material prices.

    The current forecast also highlights upward price pressure on raw materials due to demand factors, particularly influenced by the global economy, with an impact of 4.92 ¢/lb. However, this is countered by conflicting data from supply and flow factors, which exert downward pressure with impacts of -0.32 ¢/lb and -2.68 ¢/lb, respectively.

    Additionally, a forecast by Traders Union projects the average price of Coffee (KC1/USD) in February 2026 to be $339.48, marking a 2.44% decrease from the current price of $347.97. This projection is consistent with the forecast of a price decline to 336.44 ¢/lb over the next month. Overall, the market for Coffee Arabica is experiencing a slight downward trend, with various factors influencing both upward and downward pressures on prices.

    What is the current / spot price of Coffee Arabica?

    Coffee Arabica Price Today
    January 30, 2026
    Current Price
    351
    c/lb

    What is the forecast for the price of Coffee Arabica?

    Coffee Arabica Price Forecast
    January 30, 2026
    1 Month Forecast
    336.44
    c/lb
    1 Year Forecast
    276.83
    c/lb

    What are the short-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?

    Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - Arabica ICE Stocks - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - Short term price trends

    What are the long-term drivers of Coffee Arabica prices?

    Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - Short term price trends - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Grain exports from Colombia

    Will the price of Coffee Arabica go up?

    ChAI logo
    1 Week
    1 week price direction
    1 Month
    1 month price direction
    3 Month
    3 month price direction
    6 Month
    6 month price direction
    1 Year
    1 year price direction

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Still have a question?
    Contact us
    Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
    What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
    Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
    Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
    What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
    What are new government polices?
    What raw materials are in short supply?
    What are current freight rates?
    Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
    What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
    What kind of AI techniques are you using?
    Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
    Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

    Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?

    We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
    Speak to the team


    *Please include your company email