
Why are Sugar No 16 Prices so high?
05-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Sugar No 16 has fallen from 33.49 ¢/lb to 31.0 ¢/lb, indicating a downward trend in the raw material market. This decline may be due to an oversupply or reduced demand during this period. The forecast for Sugar No 16 predicts a slight increase to 31.37 ¢/lb, up 0.37 ¢/lb or 1.2% from the current price of 31.0 ¢/lb, suggesting a generally stable trend with minimal risk.
The current forecast presents mixed signals. While demand data from the Global Economy suggests a price decrease of -0.15 ¢/lb, Flows and Technical data indicate upward pressure. Conversely, Demand and Supply data suggest downward pressure on raw material prices. Despite the forecast's slight increase, recent analyses indicate a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market over the next month. For example, a report from Ecofin Agency projects a 16.9% drop in raw sugar prices by 2025, with continued downward pressure expected into 2026 due to a global sugar surplus. This external analysis offers a contrasting perspective to the forecast, suggesting a potential decline in prices contrary to the anticipated slight increase.
The current forecast presents mixed signals. While demand data from the Global Economy suggests a price decrease of -0.15 ¢/lb, Flows and Technical data indicate upward pressure. Conversely, Demand and Supply data suggest downward pressure on raw material prices. Despite the forecast's slight increase, recent analyses indicate a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market over the next month. For example, a report from Ecofin Agency projects a 16.9% drop in raw sugar prices by 2025, with continued downward pressure expected into 2026 due to a global sugar surplus. This external analysis offers a contrasting perspective to the forecast, suggesting a potential decline in prices contrary to the anticipated slight increase.
What is the current / spot price of Sugar No 16?
Sugar No 16 Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
31
¢/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Sugar No 16?
Sugar No 16 Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
31.37
¢/lb
1 Year Forecast
32.38
¢/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Sugar No 16 prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Sugar exports from India - Sugar exports from Germany Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - The net positions of speculators on ICE
What are the long-term drivers of Sugar No 16 prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Movements in the Russian Ruble - Long term price trends - Sugar exports from India - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Short term price trends
Will the price of Sugar No 16 go up?
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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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