
Why are Sugar No 16 Prices so high?
09-12-2025 - Over the past month, the price of Sugar No 16 has decreased from 33.75 ¢/lb to 32.1 ¢/lb, indicating a downward trend in the raw material market. This decline suggests a potential oversupply or reduced demand. The forecast for Sugar No 16 is 32.09 ¢/lb, nearly unchanged from the current price of 32.1 ¢/lb, reflecting a generally flat trend. The minimal price change of -0.01 ¢/lb or -0.0% indicates low risk in raw material pricing.
The current forecast presents mixed signals. Technical data, with a 0.2 ¢/lb impact, suggests upward price pressure due to Futures Curve and Price Signals. However, Flows and Supply data indicate downward pressure, creating uncertainty in pricing trends. Recent analyses suggest a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market, consistent with the forecast of a price decrease to 32.09 ¢/lb in the coming month. A report from CropGPT dated October 30, 2025, highlights a significant decline in sugar futures, attributing the drop to expectations of a global surplus in the 2025/26 season. December ICE #5 contracts have fallen below key technical levels, reaching their lowest point in four years. This trend is driven by record output forecasts and diminishing hopes for ethanol diversion, with increased production in India and Brazil reinforcing oversupply concerns. The technical analysis within the report suggests a continued downward trajectory, with key support levels under threat.
The current forecast presents mixed signals. Technical data, with a 0.2 ¢/lb impact, suggests upward price pressure due to Futures Curve and Price Signals. However, Flows and Supply data indicate downward pressure, creating uncertainty in pricing trends. Recent analyses suggest a bearish outlook for the ICE Sugar market, consistent with the forecast of a price decrease to 32.09 ¢/lb in the coming month. A report from CropGPT dated October 30, 2025, highlights a significant decline in sugar futures, attributing the drop to expectations of a global surplus in the 2025/26 season. December ICE #5 contracts have fallen below key technical levels, reaching their lowest point in four years. This trend is driven by record output forecasts and diminishing hopes for ethanol diversion, with increased production in India and Brazil reinforcing oversupply concerns. The technical analysis within the report suggests a continued downward trajectory, with key support levels under threat.
What is the current / spot price of Sugar No 16?
Sugar No 16 Price Today
December 9, 2025
Current Price
32.1
¢/lb
What is the forecast for the price of Sugar No 16?
Sugar No 16 Price Forecast
December 9, 2025
1 Month Forecast
32.09
¢/lb
1 Year Forecast
32.68
¢/lb
What are the short-term drivers of Sugar No 16 prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bearish due to drivers such as: - Sugar exports from India - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year - Satellite-observed activity in Greater Poland Voivodeship (Poland) Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve - EWMA-based technical analysis
What are the long-term drivers of Sugar No 16 prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Movements in the Russian Ruble - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Short term price trends - Max. temperature in Lipetsk Oblast (Russia) - Satellite-observed activity in Greater Poland Voivodeship (Poland)
Will the price of Sugar No 16 go up?
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