Why are RBOB Prices so high?
23-10-2025 - RBOB prices dropped 5.7% over the past month, from 1.9782 ¢/gallon on 22nd September to 1.865 ¢/gallon on 22nd October. The high was 2.0376 ¢/gallon on 26th September, while the low was 1.8117 ¢/gallon on 16th October.
Our one month forecast for RBOB is 1.7799 ¢/gallon, a decrease of -0.0851 ¢/gallon or -4.6% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast than falling short.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, reducing the price forecast by -0.0843 ¢/gallon. Within Technical data, the Trend Following and Futures Curve families have the largest impacts. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Demand and Flows indicating upward price pressure, while Supply and Technical suggest the opposite. This conflicting data suggests uncertainty in the price direction.
Our one month forecast for RBOB is 1.7799 ¢/gallon, a decrease of -0.0851 ¢/gallon or -4.6% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast than falling short.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, reducing the price forecast by -0.0843 ¢/gallon. Within Technical data, the Trend Following and Futures Curve families have the largest impacts. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Demand and Flows indicating upward price pressure, while Supply and Technical suggest the opposite. This conflicting data suggests uncertainty in the price direction.
What is the current / spot price of RBOB?
RBOB Price Today
October 23, 2025
Current Price
3.38
¢/gallon
What is the forecast for the price of RBOB?
RBOB Price Forecast
October 23, 2025
1 Month Forecast
1.78
¢/gallon
1 Year Forecast
2.21
¢/gallon
What are the short-term drivers of RBOB prices?
What are the long-term drivers of RBOB prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year - Short term price trends - Long term price trends - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - LPG imports to China
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Short term price trends - LPG imports to Korea - International Rig Count Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends
Will the price of RBOB go up?
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1 Week
1 Month
3 Month
6 Month
1 Year
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