
Why are Carbon Credits Prices so high?
30-01-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Carbon Credits (EUA ICE) has decreased from €85.29 to €82.3 per ton of CO2, indicating a downward trend in this market. This decline may be due to changes in demand or regulatory factors. The forecast suggests a further decrease to €80.61 per ton of CO2, a 2.1% drop from the current price, highlighting potential risks in this market.
The forecast also points to upward price pressure on CO2, influenced by technical data with a €0.23 per ton impact. Key factors include Calendar Effects, which contribute a negative €1.84, and the Futures Curve, which adds €1.54. All data types, including demand, suggest an increase in raw material prices.
Despite the forecasted decline, external sources present a different perspective. A report from Regreener indicates that EU Carbon Permits are expected to rise to €82.85 per ton by December 2025, marking a 21.52% increase year-over-year. This suggests a potential upward trend in prices, contrasting with the forecasted decrease to €80.61 per ton over the next month. This divergence highlights the complexity and uncertainty in predicting market movements for Carbon Credits.
The forecast also points to upward price pressure on CO2, influenced by technical data with a €0.23 per ton impact. Key factors include Calendar Effects, which contribute a negative €1.84, and the Futures Curve, which adds €1.54. All data types, including demand, suggest an increase in raw material prices.
Despite the forecasted decline, external sources present a different perspective. A report from Regreener indicates that EU Carbon Permits are expected to rise to €82.85 per ton by December 2025, marking a 21.52% increase year-over-year. This suggests a potential upward trend in prices, contrasting with the forecasted decrease to €80.61 per ton over the next month. This divergence highlights the complexity and uncertainty in predicting market movements for Carbon Credits.
What is the current / spot price of Carbon Credits?
Carbon Credits Price Today
January 30, 2026
Current Price
82.3
What is the forecast for the price of Carbon Credits?
Carbon Credits Price Forecast
January 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
80.61
1 Year Forecast
76.45
What are the short-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - EWMA-based technical analysis - Long term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis - China 300 Index Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve - Short term price trends
Will the price of Carbon Credits go up?
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