
Why are Carbon Credits Prices so high?
06-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Carbon Credits (EUA ICE) has fallen from €86.12 to €76.69 per ton of CO2, indicating a downward trend in the market. This decline suggests either a decrease in demand or an increase in supply for this raw material. The forecast for Carbon Credits (EUA ICE) is €76.9 per ton of CO2, a slight increase of €0.21 or 0.3% from the current price of €76.69 per ton of CO2. This generally flat price trend suggests minimal risk in raw material pricing.
The current forecast points to upward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by technical data, which has an impact of €1.58 per ton of CO2. Key factors contributing to this pressure include the Futures Curve, which adds €1.44, and Calendar Effects, which subtract €1.11. All data types are aligned with this upward trend.
Additionally, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) reported record trading activity in the environmental market for 2025, with 20.9 million environmental futures and options contracts traded, marking a 4% increase from the previous year. This growth in market activity suggests potential upward momentum in carbon credit prices, supporting the forecasted price increase to €76.9 in the coming month.
The current forecast points to upward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by technical data, which has an impact of €1.58 per ton of CO2. Key factors contributing to this pressure include the Futures Curve, which adds €1.44, and Calendar Effects, which subtract €1.11. All data types are aligned with this upward trend.
Additionally, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) reported record trading activity in the environmental market for 2025, with 20.9 million environmental futures and options contracts traded, marking a 4% increase from the previous year. This growth in market activity suggests potential upward momentum in carbon credit prices, supporting the forecasted price increase to €76.9 in the coming month.
What is the current / spot price of Carbon Credits?
Carbon Credits Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
76.69
What is the forecast for the price of Carbon Credits?
Carbon Credits Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
76.9
1 Year Forecast
71.67
What are the short-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year
What are the long-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - EWMA-based technical analysis - The shape of the futures curve
Will the price of Carbon Credits go up?
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1 Week

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

1 Year

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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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