Carbon Credits Prices

    Great greater insights with a subscription
    September 30, 2026

    Why are Carbon Credits Prices so high?

    30-09-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Carbon Credits (EUA ICE) has risen from €82.21 to €85.6 per ton of CO2, indicating either increased demand or decreased supply, possibly influenced by market dynamics and regulatory factors. The forecast predicts a slight increase to €86.44 per ton of CO2, a rise of €0.84 or 1.0% from the current price of €85.6, suggesting a stable trend with minimal risk in raw material pricing.

    The forecast highlights upward pressure on raw material prices, primarily driven by technical data, with a €0.84 per ton CO2 impact. Significant contributors to this trend include the Futures Curve, accounting for €0.43, and Calendar Effects, contributing €0.35. All data types consistently support this trend.

    Additionally, a survey by PwC UK involving over 180 members of the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA) reveals optimism among carbon market participants. They anticipate that global carbon prices will continue to rise in the short to medium term. This positive sentiment aligns with the forecasted upward trend in the ICE Carbon Credits market.

    What is the current / spot price of Carbon Credits?

    Carbon Credits Price Today
    September 30, 2026
    Current Price
    85.6

    What is the forecast for the price of Carbon Credits?

    Carbon Credits Price Forecast
    September 30, 2026
    1 Month Forecast
    86.44
    1 Year Forecast
    81.46

    What are the short-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?

    Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year - Baltic Dry Index - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Short term price trends

    What are the long-term drivers of Carbon Credits prices?

    Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - Short term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve - EWMA-based technical analysis - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year

    Will the price of Carbon Credits go up?

    ChAI logo
    1 Week
    1 week price direction
    1 Month
    1 month price direction
    3 Month
    3 month price direction
    6 Month
    6 month price direction
    1 Year
    1 year price direction

    Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements

    ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
    Speak to the team


    ‍

    *Please include your company email

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Still have a question?
    Contact us
    Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
    What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
    Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
    Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
    What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
    What are new government polices?
    What raw materials are in short supply?
    What are current freight rates?
    Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
    What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
    What kind of AI techniques are you using?
    Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
    Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

    Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?

    We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
    Speak to the team


    ‍

    *Please include your company email