Heating Oil Prices

    Great greater insights with a subscription
    February 6, 2026

    Why are Heating Oil Prices so high?

    05-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of heating oil has risen from $2.1428 per gallon to $2.47 per gallon, indicating a strengthening market for this commodity. This increase may be due to supply constraints or heightened demand during the winter season. However, the forecast predicts a decrease to $2.2946 per gallon, a 7.1% drop from the current price, suggesting a potential downward trend. This forecast highlights the risk of market volatility impacting raw material prices.

    The forecast also points to downward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by technical data, which is expected to reduce prices by $0.0915 per gallon. Key factors contributing to this pressure include the Futures Curve, with a $0.0556 per gallon impact, and Traders' Positions, affecting prices by $0.0217 per gallon. All data sources indicate no upward pressure on prices.

    Recent analyses support the forecast of a decline in heating oil prices over the next month, with a projected decrease to $2.2946 per gallon. As of February 2, 2026, Trading Economics reported that heating oil prices fell to $2.35 per gallon, a 7.23% decrease from the previous day. They anticipate that heating oil will trade at $2.60 per gallon by the end of this quarter, suggesting a downward trend in the near term.

    What is the current / spot price of Heating Oil?

    Heating Oil Price Today
    February 6, 2026
    Current Price
    2.47

    What is the forecast for the price of Heating Oil?

    Heating Oil Price Forecast
    February 9, 2026
    1 Month Forecast
    2.29
    1 Year Forecast
    2.95

    What are the short-term drivers of Heating Oil prices?

    Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - The net positions of speculators on NYMEX - Crude exports from Nigeria - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Petroleum Products exports from India

    What are the long-term drivers of Heating Oil prices?

    Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - LPG imports to Korea - Crude imports to China - Movements in the US Dollar Index - Movements in the Iranian Rial Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Short term price trends

    Will the price of Heating Oil go up?

    ChAI logo
    1 Week
    1 week price direction
    1 Month
    1 month price direction
    3 Month
    3 month price direction
    6 Month
    6 month price direction
    1 Year
    1 year price direction

    Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements

    ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
    Speak to the team


    *Please include your company email

    The Latest Heating Oil News

    ChAI  Blog
    Crude oil tanker rates reached multi-year highs in late 2025
    January 27, 2026
    Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Still have a question?
    Contact us
    Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
    What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
    Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
    Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
    What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
    What are new government polices?
    What raw materials are in short supply?
    What are current freight rates?
    Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
    What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
    What kind of AI techniques are you using?
    Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
    Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

    Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?

    We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
    Speak to the team


    *Please include your company email