
Why are Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Prices so high?
06-02-2026 - Over the past month, the UK Baseload (EEX) price has risen from £86.52/MWh to £90.99/MWh, indicating a strengthening market for this commodity. This increase may be attributed to changes in supply-demand dynamics or external economic factors impacting energy prices. However, the forecast predicts a decrease to £82.2/MWh, a 9.7% drop from the current £90.99/MWh, suggesting a potential downward trend. This forecast highlights the risk of market volatility affecting raw material prices.
The forecast also points to downward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by technical data, which has a -£5.92/MWh impact. Significant contributors to this trend include the Futures Curve, with a -£3.14/MWh effect, and Calendar Effects, contributing -£2.21/MWh. All data types indicate no upward pressure on prices.
Additionally, an analysis by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting notes that in February 2025, European electricity market prices increased due to higher gas prices and reduced wind energy production compared to the previous month. This analysis suggests that similar factors could influence future market prices, supporting the forecasted downward trend in the EEX Power market.
The forecast also points to downward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by technical data, which has a -£5.92/MWh impact. Significant contributors to this trend include the Futures Curve, with a -£3.14/MWh effect, and Calendar Effects, contributing -£2.21/MWh. All data types indicate no upward pressure on prices.
Additionally, an analysis by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting notes that in February 2025, European electricity market prices increased due to higher gas prices and reduced wind energy production compared to the previous month. This analysis suggests that similar factors could influence future market prices, supporting the forecasted downward trend in the EEX Power market.
What is the current / spot price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX)?
Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
90.99
What is the forecast for the price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX)?
Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
82.2
1 Year Forecast
78.84
What are the short-term drivers of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year - The shape of the futures curve - EWMA-based technical analysis - US Industrial Production Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Short term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis - The shape of the futures curve - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Movements in the Uk Pound Spot
Will the price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) go up?
.png)
1 Week

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

1 Year

Interested in protecting prices, have a look at ChAI Protect. ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements
ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
The Latest Power - UK Baseload (EEX) News
ChAI Blog
Frequently Asked Questions
Still have a question?
Contact us
Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
What are new government polices?
What raw materials are in short supply?
What are current freight rates?
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
