Why are Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Prices so high?
23-10-2025 - UK Baseload (EEX) prices rose by 10.9% over the last month, from £65.95/MWh on 22nd September to £73.13/MWh on 22nd October. The high was £79.24/MWh on 7th October, with a low of £65.93/MWh on 24th September.
Our one month forecast for UK Baseload (EEX) is 78.53 £/MWh, a significant increase of 5.4 £/MWh or 7.4% from the latest price of 73.13 £/MWh. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices falling below our prediction than rising above it.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, increasing the price forecast by £4.73 per MWh. Within Technical data, the Futures Curve and Calendar Effects families have the highest impacts of £2.22 and £2.18 per MWh, respectively. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Flows and Technical data suggesting upward price pressure, while Demand data indicates a decrease in price of £1.97 per MWh. This conflicting data suggests uncertainty in the forecasted price direction.
Our one month forecast for UK Baseload (EEX) is 78.53 £/MWh, a significant increase of 5.4 £/MWh or 7.4% from the latest price of 73.13 £/MWh. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices falling below our prediction than rising above it.
Our current forecast shows that Technical data has the most significant impact, increasing the price forecast by £4.73 per MWh. Within Technical data, the Futures Curve and Calendar Effects families have the highest impacts of £2.22 and £2.18 per MWh, respectively. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Flows and Technical data suggesting upward price pressure, while Demand data indicates a decrease in price of £1.97 per MWh. This conflicting data suggests uncertainty in the forecasted price direction.
What is the current / spot price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX)?
Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Price Today
October 23, 2025
Current Price
73.13
What is the forecast for the price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX)?
Power - UK Baseload (EEX) Price Forecast
October 23, 2025
1 Month Forecast
78.53
1 Year Forecast
100.96
What are the short-term drivers of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) prices?
What are the long-term drivers of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year - Movements in the Uk Pound Spot - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Short term price trends - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - The shape of the futures curve - EWMA-based technical analysis - Long term price trends
Will the price of Power - UK Baseload (EEX) go up?
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