Why are Natural Gas - Henry Hub Prices so high?
23-10-2025 - Natural Gas (Henry Hub) prices surged 23.0% over the last month, from $2.806 to $3.45 per mmbtu. The month saw a low of $2.806 on September 22nd and a high of $3.498 on October 7th.
Our one month forecast for Natural Gas (Henry Hub) is 3.826 $/mmbtu, a significant increase of 0.376 $/mmbtu or 10.9% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices falling below our prediction than rising above it.
Our current forecast suggests that Technical data has the most significant impact, adding $0.231 per mmbtu to the price forecast. Among the Technical data types, Calendar Effects and Price Signals are the most influential families, contributing $0.082 and $0.070 per mmbtu, respectively. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Demand and Technical data indicating upward price pressure, while Flows and Supply data suggest the opposite. This conflicting information makes it challenging to determine the overall price direction confidently.
Our one month forecast for Natural Gas (Henry Hub) is 3.826 $/mmbtu, a significant increase of 0.376 $/mmbtu or 10.9% from the latest price. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices falling below our prediction than rising above it.
Our current forecast suggests that Technical data has the most significant impact, adding $0.231 per mmbtu to the price forecast. Among the Technical data types, Calendar Effects and Price Signals are the most influential families, contributing $0.082 and $0.070 per mmbtu, respectively. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Demand and Technical data indicating upward price pressure, while Flows and Supply data suggest the opposite. This conflicting information makes it challenging to determine the overall price direction confidently.
What is the current / spot price of Natural Gas - Henry Hub?
Natural Gas - Henry Hub Price Today
October 23, 2025
Current Price
7.93
What is the forecast for the price of Natural Gas - Henry Hub?
Natural Gas - Henry Hub Price Forecast
October 23, 2025
1 Month Forecast
3.83
1 Year Forecast
5.6
What are the short-term drivers of Natural Gas - Henry Hub prices?
What are the long-term drivers of Natural Gas - Henry Hub prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Seasonality trends for the prediction week of year - LNG imports to Spain - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - LNG exports from United States
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Natural Gas EIA Stocks - Long term price trends - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - EWMA-based technical analysis
Will the price of Natural Gas - Henry Hub go up?
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