
Why are Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) Prices so high?
03-04-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Natural Gas (LNG JKM) has seen a notable increase, climbing from $15.77 to $19.965 per mmbtu. This rise suggests strong demand or potential supply constraints in the raw material market. The forecast anticipates a further increase to $20.97 per mmbtu, representing a 5.0% rise from the current price of $19.965 per mmbtu, indicating a continued upward trend. However, this comes with the risk of market volatility impacting raw material prices.
The forecast highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, driven by technical data, with a $0.99 per mmbtu impact, particularly from Traders' Positions and Price Signals. Conversely, supply data, especially inventories, suggests a slight downward pressure with a -$0.05 per mmbtu impact.
In contrast, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that the Henry Hub spot price will average around $3.80 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2026, marking a 13% decrease from the previous month's forecast. This revision is due to milder-than-expected weather in February, leading to higher natural gas storage levels, and increased production from the Permian and other U.S. Lower 48 states. This projection indicates a more bearish outlook for natural gas prices, which contrasts with the forecasted increase to $20.97 per mmbtu in the coming month.
The forecast highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, driven by technical data, with a $0.99 per mmbtu impact, particularly from Traders' Positions and Price Signals. Conversely, supply data, especially inventories, suggests a slight downward pressure with a -$0.05 per mmbtu impact.
In contrast, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that the Henry Hub spot price will average around $3.80 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2026, marking a 13% decrease from the previous month's forecast. This revision is due to milder-than-expected weather in February, leading to higher natural gas storage levels, and increased production from the Permian and other U.S. Lower 48 states. This projection indicates a more bearish outlook for natural gas prices, which contrasts with the forecasted increase to $20.97 per mmbtu in the coming month.
What is the current / spot price of Natural Gas - LNG (JKM)?
Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) Price Today
April 15, 2026
Current Price
19.96
What is the forecast for the price of Natural Gas - LNG (JKM)?
Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) Price Forecast
April 21, 2026
1 Month Forecast
20.97
1 Year Forecast
11.8
What are the short-term drivers of Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - EWMA-based technical analysis - Japan PMI - The shape of the futures curve - LNG imports to Spain Br(None)
What are the long-term drivers of Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - The net positions of speculators on ICE - EWMA-based technical analysis - Movements in the Chinese Yuan - The shape of the futures curve - LNG exports from Australia Br(None)
Will the price of Natural Gas - LNG (JKM) go up?
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