
Why are Steel HRC (SHFE) Prices so high?
09-12-2025 - Over the past month, the price of Steel HRC on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) has experienced minimal fluctuation, with a slight decrease from 3276.0 CNY/t to 3273.0 CNY/t. This stability indicates a balanced demand and supply in the raw material market. The forecast for Steel HRC on the SHFE predicts a modest increase to 3292.0 CNY/t, up by 19.0 CNY/t or 0.6% from the current price of 3273.0 CNY/t, suggesting a generally flat trend with minimal risk due to the small price change.
The current forecast points to downward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by Flows data, which has a -55.0 CNY/t impact. Key factors include Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates. Although Technical data indicates upward pressure, Demand and Flows data suggest otherwise.
According to a report by BigMint, Chinese hot-rolled coil (HRC) export offers remained stable month-over-month at $464 per ton FOB in November 2025. This stability is attributed to higher raw material costs, which have kept prices firm despite limited demand. The report also noted a slight improvement in demand from Middle East buyers. Additionally, the outlook suggests that Chinese steel prices are expected to recover in December due to a decline in steel inventories and production. This anticipated recovery supports the forecasted upward trend in SHFE Steel HRC prices.
The current forecast points to downward price pressure on raw materials, primarily influenced by Flows data, which has a -55.0 CNY/t impact. Key factors include Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates. Although Technical data indicates upward pressure, Demand and Flows data suggest otherwise.
According to a report by BigMint, Chinese hot-rolled coil (HRC) export offers remained stable month-over-month at $464 per ton FOB in November 2025. This stability is attributed to higher raw material costs, which have kept prices firm despite limited demand. The report also noted a slight improvement in demand from Middle East buyers. Additionally, the outlook suggests that Chinese steel prices are expected to recover in December due to a decline in steel inventories and production. This anticipated recovery supports the forecasted upward trend in SHFE Steel HRC prices.
What is the current / spot price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Today
December 9, 2025
Current Price
3273
What is the forecast for the price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Forecast
December 9, 2025
1 Month Forecast
3292
1 Year Forecast
3631
What are the short-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - Short term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Long term price trends - Iron Ore exports from United States
What are the long-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Short term price trends - Steel imports to Japan Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis - Steel exports from Germany
Will the price of Steel HRC (SHFE) go up?
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