
Why are Steel HRC (SHFE) Prices so high?
15-04-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Steel Hot-Rolled Coil (HRC) on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) has seen a slight decrease, moving from 3,285.0 CNY/t to 3,252.0 CNY/t. This reflects a modest downward trend in the raw materials market. The forecast for Steel HRC on the SHFE predicts a further decline to 3,226.0 CNY/t, down from the current price of 3,252.0 CNY/t, indicating a -0.8% change. This suggests a generally stable trend with a slight downward risk in raw material pricing.
The forecast highlights significant downward pressure on raw material prices, primarily influenced by Flows data, which has a -18.0 CNY/t impact. Additionally, Seaborne Imports & Exports contribute a -26.0 CNY/t effect, while Exchange Rates add 8.0 CNY/t, with all data types supporting this trend.
However, recent analyses show that the SHFE Steel HRC market is experiencing upward price trends, which contrasts with the forecasted decline to 3,226.0 CNY/t in the coming month. For example, a report from Trading Economics notes that as of April 10, 2026, HRC Steel prices rose to $1,085.05 per ton, marking a 3.24% increase over the past month and a 15.68% rise compared to the same time last year. This upward trend suggests a differing perspective from external sources regarding the expected price movement in the SHFE Steel HRC market.
The forecast highlights significant downward pressure on raw material prices, primarily influenced by Flows data, which has a -18.0 CNY/t impact. Additionally, Seaborne Imports & Exports contribute a -26.0 CNY/t effect, while Exchange Rates add 8.0 CNY/t, with all data types supporting this trend.
However, recent analyses show that the SHFE Steel HRC market is experiencing upward price trends, which contrasts with the forecasted decline to 3,226.0 CNY/t in the coming month. For example, a report from Trading Economics notes that as of April 10, 2026, HRC Steel prices rose to $1,085.05 per ton, marking a 3.24% increase over the past month and a 15.68% rise compared to the same time last year. This upward trend suggests a differing perspective from external sources regarding the expected price movement in the SHFE Steel HRC market.
What is the current / spot price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Today
April 15, 2026
Current Price
3252
What is the forecast for the price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Forecast
April 21, 2026
1 Month Forecast
3226
1 Year Forecast
3426
What are the short-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - Iron Ore exports from Canada - Iron Ore imports to United States Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Short term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve - Short term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year
Will the price of Steel HRC (SHFE) go up?
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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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