
Why are Steel HRC (SHFE) Prices so high?
29-01-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Steel HRC on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) has seen a slight decrease, moving from 3291.0 CNY/t to 3270.0 CNY/t. This modest drop suggests potential changes in supply and demand dynamics affecting the market value of this raw material. Looking ahead, the forecast anticipates a minor increase in Steel HRC prices to 3310.0 CNY/t, representing a 1.2% rise from the current level. This indicates a generally stable trend with minimal risk, as the price change remains modest.
The forecast also highlights a significant downward price impact of -33.0 CNY/t due to factors such as Seaborne Imports & Exports. However, upward pressure from demand and technical data presents mixed signals for raw material prices. In addition, recent analyses suggest that China's hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are expected to rise slightly in 2026. According to a report by Mysteel Global, new downstream production facilities requiring hot coils as substrates are anticipated to be commissioned, which will absorb more HRC supply. A Shanghai-based analyst noted that these new production lines are expected to consume around 10 million tonnes of HRC. This development points to a potential strengthening in China's average HRC prices in the coming year, supporting the forecasted upward trend in SHFE Steel HRC prices.
The forecast also highlights a significant downward price impact of -33.0 CNY/t due to factors such as Seaborne Imports & Exports. However, upward pressure from demand and technical data presents mixed signals for raw material prices. In addition, recent analyses suggest that China's hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are expected to rise slightly in 2026. According to a report by Mysteel Global, new downstream production facilities requiring hot coils as substrates are anticipated to be commissioned, which will absorb more HRC supply. A Shanghai-based analyst noted that these new production lines are expected to consume around 10 million tonnes of HRC. This development points to a potential strengthening in China's average HRC prices in the coming year, supporting the forecasted upward trend in SHFE Steel HRC prices.
What is the current / spot price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Today
January 30, 2026
Current Price
3270
What is the forecast for the price of Steel HRC (SHFE)?
Steel HRC (SHFE) Price Forecast
January 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
3310
1 Year Forecast
3766
What are the short-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - Short term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis
What are the long-term drivers of Steel HRC (SHFE) prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Short term price trends - Steel imports to China - Steel imports to Japan - Movements in the Euro Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends
Will the price of Steel HRC (SHFE) go up?
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