
Why are Iron Ore Prices so high?
09-12-2025 - Over the past month, the price of Iron Ore (Nymex) has experienced a slight increase, rising from $105.08/t to $106.42/t. This modest uptick suggests potential changes in demand or supply dynamics affecting the market value of this raw material. The forecast anticipates a further increase to $106.81/t, a marginal rise of $0.39/t or 0.4% from the current price of $106.42/t. Overall, the price trend remains relatively stable, with minimal risk of significant fluctuations in the market.
The forecast also indicates a potential downward price impact of -$1.93/t, primarily influenced by Technical data, especially Trend Following. While Flows and Supply data suggest upward pressure on prices, Demand and Technical data point towards a decline, resulting in mixed signals for the raw material market.
Additionally, a report from Reuters highlights that China's steel production is expected to fall below 1 billion metric tons by 2025, while iron ore imports are projected to reach a new record high. This scenario implies a potential increase in demand for iron ore, which could support higher prices. This information aligns with the forecasted upward trend in iron ore prices, suggesting that despite mixed signals, there may be underlying support for price increases in the near future.
The forecast also indicates a potential downward price impact of -$1.93/t, primarily influenced by Technical data, especially Trend Following. While Flows and Supply data suggest upward pressure on prices, Demand and Technical data point towards a decline, resulting in mixed signals for the raw material market.
Additionally, a report from Reuters highlights that China's steel production is expected to fall below 1 billion metric tons by 2025, while iron ore imports are projected to reach a new record high. This scenario implies a potential increase in demand for iron ore, which could support higher prices. This information aligns with the forecasted upward trend in iron ore prices, suggesting that despite mixed signals, there may be underlying support for price increases in the near future.
What is the current / spot price of Iron Ore?
Iron Ore Price Today
December 9, 2025
Current Price
106.42
$/t
What is the forecast for the price of Iron Ore?
Iron Ore Price Forecast
December 9, 2025
1 Month Forecast
106.81
$/t
1 Year Forecast
113.17
$/t
What are the short-term drivers of Iron Ore prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year - Coke exports from China - Movements in the Chinese Yuan Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Coal imports to Viet Nam - Long term price trends
What are the long-term drivers of Iron Ore prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Movements in the Chinese Yuan - Short term price trends - Steel exports from Poland Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Long term price trends - EWMA-based technical analysis
Will the price of Iron Ore go up?
.png)
1 Week

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

1 Year

The Latest Iron Ore News
ChAI Blog
China's major commodities tell a story of prices and inventories
December 8, 2025
Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
Frequently Asked Questions
Still have a question?
Contact us
Which suppliers or regions are the most reliable/unreliable right now from a supply chain perspective?
What are the key supply chain risks for the next quarter (climate events, wars, shipping route changes)?
Are there any substitution materials currently becoming more competitive?
Are there any current supply chain disruptions (strikes, port closures, weather events, shipping delays)?
What tariffs does the EU have with the US?
What are new government polices?
What raw materials are in short supply?
What are current freight rates?
Do your models/algorithms change for time horizons? (short term/long term)?
What is unique about what you do? Aren’t large hedge funds already doing something similar?
What kind of AI techniques are you using?
Our Risk / Compliance Department is concerned about model transparency - How do you ensure your models can be explained?
Can you expand on how the AI is used and how it's a differentiator?

Interested in further market insights, forecasts, cost models, downloadable data ?
We are making the companies whose products we depend on everyday more resilient
Speak to the team
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
*Please include your company email
