Why are Aluminium Prices so high?
23-10-2025 - Aluminium prices rose by 6.1% over the past month, starting at $2649.14/t on September 22nd and reaching $2809.61/t on October 22nd. The low was $2638.24/t on September 23rd.
Our one month forecast for Aluminium is 2755.89 $/t, a decrease of -53.72 $/t or -1.9% from the latest price of 2809.61 $/t. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast.
Our current forecast shows that Flows data has the most significant impact, reducing the price forecast by $24.37 per tonne. Among the Flows data, Seaborne Imports & Exports have the largest negative impact at -$43.23, while Exchange Rates contribute positively by $18.86. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Technical data suggesting upward price pressure, while Demand, Flows, and Supply data types indicate the opposite trend, with a combined negative impact on price.
Our one month forecast for Aluminium is 2755.89 $/t, a decrease of -53.72 $/t or -1.9% from the latest price of 2809.61 $/t. Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of prices exceeding our forecast.
Our current forecast shows that Flows data has the most significant impact, reducing the price forecast by $24.37 per tonne. Among the Flows data, Seaborne Imports & Exports have the largest negative impact at -$43.23, while Exchange Rates contribute positively by $18.86. However, there is disagreement among the data types, with Technical data suggesting upward price pressure, while Demand, Flows, and Supply data types indicate the opposite trend, with a combined negative impact on price.
What is the current / spot price of Aluminium?
Aluminium Price Today
October 23, 2025
Current Price
1743.5
$/t
What is the forecast for the price of Aluminium?
Aluminium Price Forecast
October 23, 2025
1 Month Forecast
2755.89
$/t
1 Year Forecast
2583.86
$/t
What are the short-term drivers of Aluminium prices?
What are the long-term drivers of Aluminium prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Bauxite exports from Brazil - Vehicles exports from Korea - The shape of the futures curve - Aluminium LME Closing Stock Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Short term price trends
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Short term price trends - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) - US Treasury Yield Spread Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Movements in the Euro
Will the price of Aluminium go up?
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