Aluminium Prices

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    February 6, 2026

    Why are Aluminium Prices so high?

    06-02-2026 - Over the past month, aluminium prices have experienced a decline, starting at $3,106.3 per tonne and falling to $3,001.23 per tonne. This decrease suggests a downward trend in the raw material market, potentially due to shifts in supply-demand dynamics or broader economic factors impacting aluminium pricing. The forecast predicts a further decline to $2,848.48 per tonne, a 5.1% drop from the current price of $3,001.23 per tonne, indicating continued downward pressure. This trend is primarily driven by Flows data, which has a negative impact of $54.82 per tonne. Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates are the most influential factors within Flows, with all data types consistently reporting this trend.

    Despite this forecast, external analyses present a different perspective. A report from Discovery Alert anticipates that by February 2026, LME aluminium prices will range between $3,000 and $3,200 per tonne. This outlook is supported by production cost floors and sufficient supply availability, suggesting a more stable or even upward trend in the longer term. This divergence highlights potential market volatility and differing opinions on the future direction of aluminium prices.

    What is the current / spot price of Aluminium?

    Aluminium Price Today
    February 6, 2026
    Current Price
    3001.23
    $/t

    What is the forecast for the price of Aluminium?

    Aluminium Price Forecast
    February 9, 2026
    1 Month Forecast
    2848.48
    $/t
    1 Year Forecast
    2912.46
    $/t

    What are the short-term drivers of Aluminium prices?

    Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - Bauxite exports from Brazil - Vehicles imports to France - The shape of the futures curve - Movements in the Australian Dollar - Short term price trends Br(None)

    What are the long-term drivers of Aluminium prices?

    Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Seasonality trends for the prediction month of year - Vehicles imports to United States - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility) Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Movements in the Euro

    Will the price of Aluminium go up?

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    ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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