Why are PVC Prices so high?
30-09-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Poly Vinyl Chloride (PVC) has risen from 4371.0 CNY/t to 4686.0 CNY/t, indicating a strengthening market for this raw material. This increase may be due to supply constraints or heightened demand. However, the forecast for PVC prices is 4655.0 CNY/t, slightly lower than the current price of 4686.0 CNY/t, reflecting a -0.6% change. This suggests a generally stable market with minimal risk of significant price fluctuations.
The forecast indicates a downward pressure on PVC prices, primarily influenced by technical data, which has a -25.0 CNY/t impact. Key factors contributing to this pressure include the Futures Curve (-15.0 CNY/t) and Trend Following (-10.0 CNY/t), with no data suggesting upward pressure.
According to a report by Chemanalyst, the PVC market in China saw a 1.2% price decline in the week ending September 22, 2023. This decline was due to low demand in downstream industries such as packaging and construction, within an oversupplied market. Market participants have paused procurement activities due to ample stock and reduced expectations for demand growth, influenced by sluggish economic growth and decreased international orders. Additionally, falling feedstock (Calcium Carbide) prices have supported the downward trend in PVC prices. Market players remain cautious amid weak transactions and pre-holiday restocking in China.
This analysis aligns with the forecasted decline in the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) PVC market for the upcoming month.
The forecast indicates a downward pressure on PVC prices, primarily influenced by technical data, which has a -25.0 CNY/t impact. Key factors contributing to this pressure include the Futures Curve (-15.0 CNY/t) and Trend Following (-10.0 CNY/t), with no data suggesting upward pressure.
According to a report by Chemanalyst, the PVC market in China saw a 1.2% price decline in the week ending September 22, 2023. This decline was due to low demand in downstream industries such as packaging and construction, within an oversupplied market. Market participants have paused procurement activities due to ample stock and reduced expectations for demand growth, influenced by sluggish economic growth and decreased international orders. Additionally, falling feedstock (Calcium Carbide) prices have supported the downward trend in PVC prices. Market players remain cautious amid weak transactions and pre-holiday restocking in China.
This analysis aligns with the forecasted decline in the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) PVC market for the upcoming month.
What is the current / spot price of PVC?
PVC Price Today
September 30, 2026
Current Price
4686
€/t
What is the forecast for the price of PVC?
PVC Price Forecast
September 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
4655
€/t
1 Year Forecast
4720
€/t
What are the short-term drivers of PVC prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bearish due to drivers such as: - Long term price trends - Movements in the Euro Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Chemicals exports from Ireland - Short term price trends - Movements in the Euro
What are the long-term drivers of PVC prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - Chemicals exports from Singapore Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Chemicals imports to Spain - Long term price trends - Movements in the Chinese Yuan
Will the price of PVC go up?
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1 Week
1 Month
3 Month
6 Month
1 Year
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