
Why are LLDPE Prices so high?
30-09-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Linear Low-Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) raw material has surged from 8,105.0 CNY/t to 9,073.0 CNY/t, reflecting strong market demand or potential supply constraints. However, the forecast anticipates a decrease to 8,900.0 CNY/t, a -1.9% drop from the current price, suggesting a general downward trend with potential volatility in raw material pricing.
The current forecast presents mixed signals: while technical data indicates a significant price drop of -180.0 CNY/t, driven by Price Signals and Futures Curve, Demand and Supply data suggest upward pressure, indicating uncertainty in the raw material price direction. Recent analyses predict a potential decline in the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) LLDPE market over the next month, aligning with the forecasted decrease to 8,900 CNY/t.
A report from ChemAnalyst dated June 25, 2026, presents a bearish outlook for the U.S. LLDPE market, citing high inventories, weak export demand, and limited downstream purchasing activity. Although this analysis focuses on the U.S. market, similar dynamics could affect global LLDPE trends, including those in China. The report highlights that ample ethylene supply, elevated inventories, and subdued demand have led to significant price declines, with expectations of continued pressure on prices in the near term. This external analysis supports the forecasted downward trend in the DCE LLDPE market, suggesting that similar market conditions may contribute to price declines in the coming month.
The current forecast presents mixed signals: while technical data indicates a significant price drop of -180.0 CNY/t, driven by Price Signals and Futures Curve, Demand and Supply data suggest upward pressure, indicating uncertainty in the raw material price direction. Recent analyses predict a potential decline in the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) LLDPE market over the next month, aligning with the forecasted decrease to 8,900 CNY/t.
A report from ChemAnalyst dated June 25, 2026, presents a bearish outlook for the U.S. LLDPE market, citing high inventories, weak export demand, and limited downstream purchasing activity. Although this analysis focuses on the U.S. market, similar dynamics could affect global LLDPE trends, including those in China. The report highlights that ample ethylene supply, elevated inventories, and subdued demand have led to significant price declines, with expectations of continued pressure on prices in the near term. This external analysis supports the forecasted downward trend in the DCE LLDPE market, suggesting that similar market conditions may contribute to price declines in the coming month.
What is the current / spot price of LLDPE?
LLDPE Price Today
September 30, 2026
Current Price
9073
€/t
What is the forecast for the price of LLDPE?
LLDPE Price Forecast
September 30, 2026
1 Month Forecast
8900
€/t
1 Year Forecast
8775
€/t
What are the short-term drivers of LLDPE prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - The shape of the futures curve - Chemicals exports from United States Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - Dalian LLDPE Stocks - Japan PMI
What are the long-term drivers of LLDPE prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bearish due to drivers such as: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Long term price trends Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Dalian LLDPE Stocks - The shape of the futures curve - Chemicals exports from Belgium
Will the price of LLDPE go up?
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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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