LLDPE Prices

29-01-2026 - Over the past month, the price of LLDPE raw material has risen from 6,384.0 CNY/t to 6,828.0 CNY/t, indicating a strengthening market. This increase suggests potential supply constraints or heightened demand. The forecast for LLDPE is 6,865.0 CNY/t, a slight 0.5% rise from the current price of 6,828.0 CNY/t, reflecting a generally stable trend with minimal risk, as the price change is only 35.0 CNY/t.

The forecast points to upward price pressure on raw materials, largely influenced by Flows data, with significant effects from Seaborne Imports & Exports. However, Supply data, particularly regarding Inventories, suggests downward pressure, resulting in a mixed market outlook.

Recent analyses predict a potential decline in LLDPE prices in early 2026, mainly due to oversupply and weak demand. For example, Argus Media reports that with 2 million tons per year of new U.S. polyethylene capacity expected to be operational in the latter half of 2026, domestic buyers may hold pricing power for much of the year, especially if producers face challenges in finding markets for the new resin. This external analysis presents a contrary view to the forecasted price increase, suggesting that the market may experience downward pressure in the future.