Why are LLDPE Prices so high?
05-02-2026 - Over the past month, the price of Linear Low-Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) raw material has risen from 6,327.0 CNY/t to 6,750.0 CNY/t, indicating a strengthening market. This increase suggests potential supply constraints or heightened demand. The forecast predicts a slight rise to 6,775.0 CNY/t, a modest increase of 25.0 CNY/t or 0.4% from the current price, indicating a generally stable trend with minimal risk in raw material pricing.
The forecast highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, influenced by Flows data, with significant contributions from Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates. However, Demand, Supply, and Technical data suggest downward pressure, indicating a lack of consensus among these factors.
Contrasting this forecast, a report from ChemOrbis dated December 4, 2025, presents a different perspective on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) LLDPE market. It notes that major polyethylene (PE) markets across Asia, including China, are facing structural oversupply and weak demand. The report suggests that any upward price movements may be short-lived due to abundant supply and fragile downstream consumption. This view contrasts with the forecasted increase to 6,775.0 CNY/t in the coming month.
The forecast highlights upward price pressure on raw materials, influenced by Flows data, with significant contributions from Seaborne Imports & Exports and Exchange Rates. However, Demand, Supply, and Technical data suggest downward pressure, indicating a lack of consensus among these factors.
Contrasting this forecast, a report from ChemOrbis dated December 4, 2025, presents a different perspective on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) LLDPE market. It notes that major polyethylene (PE) markets across Asia, including China, are facing structural oversupply and weak demand. The report suggests that any upward price movements may be short-lived due to abundant supply and fragile downstream consumption. This view contrasts with the forecasted increase to 6,775.0 CNY/t in the coming month.
What is the current / spot price of LLDPE?
LLDPE Price Today
February 6, 2026
Current Price
6750
€/t
What is the forecast for the price of LLDPE?
LLDPE Price Forecast
February 9, 2026
1 Month Forecast
6775
€/t
1 Year Forecast
7015
€/t
What are the short-term drivers of LLDPE prices?
Over the 1 Month horizon the outlook is moderately bullish due to drivers such as: - Chemicals exports from Ireland - Chemicals imports to United States - The shape of the futures curve Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Month horizon are: - EWMA-based technical analysis - Dalian LLDPE Stocks
What are the long-term drivers of LLDPE prices?
Over the 1 Year horizon the outlook is bullish due to drivers such as: - Dalian LLDPE Stocks - EWMA-based technical analysis Br(None) The top contrary drivers for the 1 Year horizon are: - Movements in the Euro - Movements in the Chinese Yuan - The shape of the futures curve (adjusted for the risk free rate and price volatility)
Will the price of LLDPE go up?
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1 Week
1 Month
3 Month
6 Month
1 Year
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ChAI Protect is our commodity price risk insurance offering, created to protect your company from the financial risks associated with raw material price movements.
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